REM Liability — Repayment Trajectory

CWLTH-DEBT-RIO.7-85 | Rio Operational Debt | weekly | 23 Oct 2025 → projected payoff

CUMULATIVE LIABILITY · REPAYMENTS · OUTSTANDING BALANCE weekly — estimated / rounded

Liabilities (gross)

$143,475

incurred to date

Repayments

$108,821

75.8% of gross

Balance (outstanding)

$34,654

↓ from $45,024 (25 Sep)

Projected payoff

late Nov – early Jan

central: December 2026

Liabilities (cumulative gross)

Repayments (cumulative)

Balance (outstanding = liab − repaid)

Spike (cost ↑ red · repayment ↑ teal)

Projected payoff window

Camera pans along the lines as they draw. Spikes are marked; they become less frequent over time.

Reading it. Liabilities only ever rise — the sharp step at end-January is the ATO reversal (+$44,150); the steep climb across Aug–Sep is the Rio operational / security costs. Repayments also only rise — the big step in October is the ~$10,000 high-value-target gain. The Balance is the gap between them, trending to zero at payoff. In the “Liabilities vs Repayments” view the shaded gap is the outstanding balance, closing as the two lines meet. A ~$5,000–$8,000 security-monitoring overtime cost is pending (unbilled) and is not plotted. Values are weekly, estimated and rounded.

AI Generated — Weekly series modelled from the REM ledger (CWLTH-DEBT-RIO.7-85); values are rounded estimates and the forward curve (dashed) is indicative, spanning best-case (late November) to worst-case (early January).
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